100%. First thing I thought of when reading this was Gabby. That poor girl deserved so much better and so does OP. Let’s hope this story doesn’t end as tragically as Gabby’s.

Get out of there OP. This guy is not a good guy and nothing he could ever do can make up for that kind of behavior. Stop tricking yourself into thinking he’s anything but a monster.

You're right. This is probably why "times more likely" is discouraged when teaching statistics, because in the example I used 100% more likely would be equal to 1x more likely, which is confusing and incorrect.

I may be misremembering, but 100% more likely would be 2x, where as 100% as likely would be 1x. By saying a thing is more likely, you are listing only what exceeds the initial 100%.

Fair point, that’s a weird use of language though. I’ve never heard someone use a straight ratio like 7.5 times as an increase rather than an absolute reference

That’s the correct use of language. If you’re comparing terms you need to use the same. Either both use more, or both use increase, otherwise it’s confusing

A 50% increase to your money is $150. ($100 x .5 = $50, + the $100 you had originally), so 1.5 times what you started with.

A 100% increase is $200 - 2 times what you started with.
200% increase is 3 times.
300% increase is 4 times.
400% increase is 5 times.
500% increase is 6 times.
600% increase is 7 times.
700% increase is 8 times.

If you're getting 750% more of something, you're getting 8.5 times what you had to start with, not 8.5 times more. I think the confusion is that we're talking probability here, not quantity. OP should have said 8.5 times AS likely...thus the confusion.

I think it depends on the context, like in an investment if you have a 100% increase, you double your initial investment, 200% is triple and so on, I'm not sure this applies in this case. I kind of get what the person who said 750% is 8.5 but I also feel like it doesn't make sense in this case.

Percentages are weird. 8.5 would be a 750% increase from the number 1. but it's given no context. You have to have odds of the event happening. so if the odds was 1 in 100, then the new odds would be 8.5 in 100.

The odds could be 1/25 (4/100) and a 750% increase is now (34/100). and 34 = 4 * 8.5
If the odds was 1/33 people (~3%), it would now be ~25% or (8/33)

So. yes if you wanted to find out what 750% of some event happening, you would multiply the initial event as a function of 100%

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## u/MNConcerto Jan 14 '22 •

Run.

If he choked you he will kill you given the chance.

Choking is the biggest sign domestic abuse will turn deadly.

Do not refuse to press charges, you were very lucky to get out alive.